After Musk's Starshield limits on Ukraine, Europe asks which American vendor holds the switch

Steve Blank spent a month in London and heard one question from European policymakers: if one CEO can throttle a military satellite service, who else can?

In brief

Citing the Wall Street Journal, Blank says Elon Musk personally ordered limits on Starshield for Ukraine. Europeans now ask whether Microsoft, Oracle or Palantir could do the same.

The thread argued about treason, then about whether Europe has any rockets.

The switch Blank says Europe noticed

In his essay, entrepreneur and Stanford lecturer Steve Blank, citing the Wall Street Journal, says Musk personally ordered restrictions on Starshield, the military version of Starlink, over Ukraine. The restrictions cut intelligence and throttled the service during the war. Blank stresses that this was not announced US policy but an apparently unilateral decision by a CEO.

In London, he reports, policymakers took it as proof that the US is "an unreliable security and technology partner." They now ask whether Microsoft, OpenAI, Anthropic, Oracle, Palantir or Google could restrict their products the same way. Blank's prediction: AI makes copying enterprise software cheap enough that most nations can build their own, which could cost US firms "tens if not hundreds of billions" in lost allied revenue. Space access is the harder one to replace.

'Treason' is a specific word

The top of the thread went to a legal quibble.

"I'm pro Ukraine but treason has a specific definition in the us Constitution, so until Congress declares Russia an 'enemy' and not just an 'adversary' it's not treason." — dnautics, a molecular biologist by training

Another commenter asked whether an illegal immigrant could owe the allegiance treason requires at all. The more useful frame came from a commenter who linked Paul Krugman's piece and wrote that a private individual should not be able to dictate national security policy.

Can Europe actually replace it

On the hardware, skepticism was concrete.

"Europe would have to not only build the satellites, but launch them, which rocket program do you think exists in Europe that could do that?" — brandonagr2

HarHarVeryFunny pointed out that Eutelsat already runs about 600 satellites against Starlink's roughly 6,000, and Ukraine uses it alongside Starlink, though terminal weight and bandwidth limit it. The optimists argued from history: Europe bickers, then builds.

Blank's practical point for founders sits underneath: if you sell to a European government or defense buyer, expect "who holds the switch?" in the first sales call, and have a written answer.

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