Meet Mike: how crypto turned a college kid into a 2 a.m. parlay gambler

He started with ten dollars of CumRocket because his friends were in. By twenty-four he was firing ten-leg parlays on third-division water polo at two in the morning, certain the whole time that he was investing.

In brief

Stephen Diehl's essay follows a composite kid, Mike, down a pipeline from a meme coin to leveraged options to a Kalshi account to a 2 a.m. sportsbook, poorer at every stop and sure he is investing. The line underneath: the price of Bitcoin measures only the price of Bitcoin.

The thread didn't fall in line. People who worked inside crypto analytics and Web3 confirmed the rot, but savers in Venezuela pushed back hard: a stablecoin is the only thing between them and a currency that halves overnight.

The pipeline that starts at a meme coin and ends at a 2 a.m. parlay

Bad Place social card for Stephen Diehl's crypto essay
Bad Place social card for Stephen Diehl's crypto essay

Stephen Diehl's essay borrows its title from The Good Place, the sitcom whose twist is that the cheerful paradise was an engineered torture all along. His claim is that crypto in 2026 is that reveal: each absurdity alone reads as parody, but stacked together they are the place we now live.

The spine of the piece is Mike, a composite freshman. He downloads Coinbase, buys ten dollars of a meme coin because his friend group is in, and feels the dopamine of betting on a non-economic random walk. By sophomore year it is 0DTE options on triple-leveraged single-stock ETFs traded on an app built to look like a video game. By twenty-two, a Kalshi account, because betting on a primary or a reality-TV winner has been reframed as participating in markets. By twenty-four he is in the sportsbook at 2 a.m. on third-division water polo. "Mike believes he is investing. Mike is gambling."

Diehl anchors the indictment in a definition. A market is a price-discovery mechanism for goods and services whose value comes from outside the market itself: the price of wheat reflects the world, a share reflects expected cash flows, a rate future reflects monetary conditions. "The price of Bitcoin measures only the price of Bitcoin." The disposition that makes the pitch land he calls financial nihilism — the loss of faith that patience or fundamentals work anymore. And the business model he names sucker farming: "manufacturing a product whose counterparty is a retail customer who does not understand that he is the one being farmed."

"Having worked in crypto analytics, normal people have no clue how much fraud is happening"

The sharpest agreement came from people who had been inside. One described a stint in crypto analytics:

"Normal people have no clue how much fraud and scams are happening in crypto at the exchange level. FTX collapsed and was caught but more conservative crypto exchanges continue to use customer funds, trade against their own customers, use insider information…" — a commenter who worked in crypto analytics

Another spent two years in Web3 after being poached from a vanilla tech role, and his memory wasn't of the scams but of the boredom:

"I haven't seen anyone mention how disinterested everyone is in the tech… how long can they keep the conversation going before you hit the BS bedrock. Once you do it's masks off, no it's not decentralised, no it can't scale." — an engineer who worked in Web3 for two years

A VC weighed in to second the central coinage, quoting Diehl's sucker-farming line back approvingly — Simone Brunozzi, a Europe-based VC and former AWS technology evangelist. And a commenter with the highest karma in the thread tied it to something larger than tokens: trust as a depletable resource.

"People have started to view a high-trust society like a rainforest: a natural resource that has lots of life-sustaining positive externalities, but you can just burn it down to make a quick buck instead." — pjc50

"I'm from Venezuela. Our options are a currency that halves in months, or stablecoins"

Where the thread turned on Diehl was the part of his essay arguing that stablecoins quietly migrate the savings of the global poor onto opaque private balance sheets — "corrosive for Nigeria," in his framing. Commenters living through currency collapse read that as a comfortable abstraction.

"I'm from Venezuela, the country that keeps leading in inflation. Our options are holding a currency that loses half its value in months, buying dollars in the 'black market' which is illegal, or using stablecoins." — a commenter writing from Venezuela

One reply reframed the villain entirely: the issue isn't the token, it's the government issuing the currency it replaces.

"In countries like Argentina, Turkey or Nigeria the governments are incredibly corrupt and they use monetary policy and capital controls to make loads of cheap financing available to the ultra rich while inflating their debts away… Stablecoins are not the issue here, the governments are." — a commenter on emerging-market monetary policy

Even a self-described long-time stablecoin supporter landed in the middle: the tech is real, the only honest use case is a stable store of value for people without one, and "everything outside the tech itself is just trash, scams, and gambling" — a developer who spent years deep in crypto. That is the unresolved tension the essay can't dissolve: the same rails that farm Mike at 2 a.m. are, for someone in Lagos, the closest thing to a savings account. The skeptics in the thread weren't denying the gambling machine — they were refusing to let the one genuine use case get bulldozed along with it.

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